The three day Munich Security Conference begins today. Libya, Yemen, Syria, India’s lockdown of Kashmir, US-Iran relations and China’s military assertiveness in the South China Sea will be discussed. North Korea will send a delegate for the first time.
Yesterday’s GBP reaction to the Cabinet reshuffle followed the book. GBP strengthened by another 90pips as noted in yesterday’s Market Recap.
The US charged Huawei with racketeering and conspiracy to steal trade secrets. Tesla will recall 3K Model X SUVs in China, and 15K vehicles in North America.
Macro releases: Yesterday’s US inflation decreased to 0.1%m/m. Markets are seriously pricing a 2020 FED rate cut, that could come as early as June. Earlier today, the German GDP q/q decreased to 0.0%. Following the last week’s German Industrial production (-3.5% m/m) release, and European Retail sales (-1.6%m/m) macro releases are not helping the EUR. The current EURUSD level is the same as it was, when Emanuel Macron managed to come first at the fisrt round of French Presidential Election on 23 April 2017.
Today’s economic calendar includes the European GDP q/q, European trade balance, the US retail sales, US inflation expectations and US capacity utilization rate.
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